Friday, July 16, 2010

SHANGHAI COMPOSITE IND. vs. DJIA

The Shanghai Composite is clearly not mirroring the move in the DJIA. Chinese stock markets are testing new lows for the year as concerns of a stumbling recovery in the developed markets continue.

Will we see a revaluation in the Chinese Yuan? Currency markets have been all over the place. The Euro has rebounded of recent panic lows even as sovereign debt troubles in the 'PIIGS' nations remain unresolved.
The USD has given back some of its recent gains, mainly due to an improving risk appetite and the subsequent rebound in global equities.

But as David Rosenberg recently said, are the Chinese Equity markets and the Baltic Dry Index warning investors that we could be in for a difficult second half in FY10?
Perhaps it's now time to be cutting back on risky assets and looking at minimizing portfolio volatility.

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